So You Think You’re Smarter Than A CIA Agent?

For the past three years, Rich and 3,000 other average people have been quietly making probability estimates about everything from Venezuelan gas subsidies to North Korean politics as part of the Good Judgment Project, an experiment put together by three well-known psychologists and some people inside the intelligence community.

via So You Think You’re Smarter Than A CIA Agent : Parallels : NPR.

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